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FORECAST: Partly cloudy Monday with highs back above average

Highs on Election Day in the mid-70s.

NORFOLK, Va. — High pressure continues to control our weather pattern, but there are some changes on the way. Look for gradually-warming temperatures through midweek with more dry weather. But some low-end rain chances will later this week.

The stretch of dry weather for Norfolk continues. Today, Monday, November 4th, we tied the he record of 33 dry days in a row, and we will surpass that record tomorrow. While rain chances remain low, there is a slight chance of isolated showers by Thursday. With the dry weather, Hampton Roads is currently experiencing moderate drought. 

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Monday afternoon's hour-by-hour forecast.

Looking forward to Election Day, there's a chance a few of us could see some early morning fog from about 4 am to 8 am. After that, the fog should lift and open up to partly cloudy skies. Temperatures will continue to rise on Tuesday into the mid and upper 70s. That being said, there are no major weather concerns as you wait in line to vote.

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By Wednesday, we'll be around 10-15 degrees above average, with temperatures pushing near 80°, with a mix of sun and clouds for the afternoon.

After that, we get our next cold front that may snap our dry streak. This front will roll through on Thursday, providing isolated showers and cooler temperatures. So, by next weekend, highs will be back in the upper 60s and lower 70s.

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Seven-day forecast for coastal Virginia and North Carolina.

In the Tropics...

As we enter the first full week of November, the tropics remain active.

Tropical Depression 18 is currently located over the south-central portion of the Caribbean Sea. TD 18 is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Rafael in the next twenty-four hours, and likely become a hurricane on Wednesday, impacting western portions of Cuba. From there, Rafael will move into the Gulf of Mexico. The storm should start to weaken as the environment becomes less favorable, becoming a tropical storm once again. There is some uncertainty how Rafael will impact the mainland US, but areas from Texas to Florida should continue to keep an eye on this system, as it will bring strong winds and heavy rainfall to areas along the Gulf. 

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Tropical Storm Patty is now a remnant low heading toward Portugal and Spain. The 10 am Monday advisory is the final advisory for Patty.

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There is another area north of Hispaniola that has a 20% chance of development within the week. 

An area of showers and thunderstorms could develop from moisture with an upper-level trough near the northern Leeward Islands around the middle of this week. Some slow subtropical or tropical development of this system is possible after that time as it moves generally westward over the southwestern Atlantic.

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Hurricane season ends on November 30.

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